Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046912 0.051031 0.055205 0.059743 0.064532 0.069428 0.074804
2024-10-20 0.039479 0.045462 0.051754 0.058834 0.066555 0.074692 0.083889
2024-10-27 0.034846 0.042246 0.050288 0.059612 0.070063 0.081353 0.094412
2024-11-03 0.030340 0.038660 0.047990 0.059110 0.071886 0.085994 0.102640
2024-11-10 0.027081 0.036138 0.046590 0.059357 0.074348 0.091215 0.111450
2024-11-17 0.024663 0.034349 0.045822 0.060148 0.077289 0.096890 0.120740
2024-11-24 0.023696 0.034198 0.046909 0.063061 0.082682 0.105403 0.133354
2024-12-01 0.020593 0.031106 0.044180 0.061162 0.082173 0.106874 0.137660
2024-12-08 0.018478 0.029105 0.042651 0.060593 0.083149 0.110016 0.143873
2024-12-15 0.016722 0.027435 0.041418 0.060280 0.084348 0.113360 0.150290
2024-12-22 0.016118 0.027282 0.042117 0.062404 0.088574 0.120395 0.161194
2024-12-29 0.015178 0.026578 0.042023 0.063454 0.091417 0.125728 0.170050
2025-01-05 0.014182 0.025755 0.041761 0.064309 0.094079 0.130948 0.178938
2025-01-12 0.012707 0.024119 0.040294 0.063488 0.094537 0.133398 0.184421
2025-01-19 0.011909 0.023443 0.040121 0.064381 0.097212 0.138649 0.193420
2025-01-26 0.010769 0.022144 0.038985 0.063891 0.098019 0.141502 0.199417
2025-02-02 0.009951 0.021290 0.038438 0.064174 0.099825 0.145621 0.207018
2025-02-09 0.009354 0.020749 0.038314 0.065019 0.102367 0.150687 0.215832
2025-02-16 0.009370 0.021240 0.039746 0.068099 0.107973 0.159774 0.229841
2025-02-23 0.008152 0.019503 0.037700 0.066100 0.106576 0.159680 0.232063
2025-03-02 0.007366 0.018455 0.036656 0.065501 0.107063 0.162028 0.237414
2025-03-09 0.006704 0.017574 0.035825 0.065172 0.107893 0.164811 0.243323
2025-03-16 0.006610 0.017759 0.036707 0.067413 0.112353 0.172459 0.255618